Key Levels For A Lasting Bottom In Stocks — Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC

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Important Disclosures: While the CCM Market Model is according to sound financial and funding rules, there’s no ensure any of the targets can be met one day. The phrases odds and chances additionally discuss to unsure results. Risks are lined in additional element within the CCM Client Agreement and LPOA. The efficiency knowledge offered in sure charts or tables constitute backtested efficiency from December 31, 2002 to December 31, 2017, the use of the type to choose ETFs and modify portfolio allocations according to marketplace prerequisites. Backtested efficiency is hypothetical (it does now not replicate buying and selling in exact accounts) and is equipped for informational functions simplest to suggest historic efficiency had the type portfolios been to be had over the related length. Front-end displays had been added to the type in May 2017, and later backtested in the second one part of 2017. Backtested efficiency does now not constitute exact efficiency and must now not be interpreted as a sign of such efficiency. Backtested efficiency effects have inherent barriers, a few of that are described herein. Backtested returns don’t constitute the efficiency result of exact buying and selling and are calculated throughout the retroactive software of the consultant’s type portfolio configuration, designed with the good thing about hindsight. Since backtested efficiency effects don’t constitute exact buying and selling, they would possibly not replicate the have an effect on that subject material financial and marketplace components would possibly have at the decision-making of the consultant, if the consultant was once managing the buyer belongings. No illustration is being made that the consultant’s technique will or is most probably to reach earnings or losses like the ones proven. In reality, there are ceaselessly important subject material variations between backtested efficiency effects and function effects completed through following a technique. In addition, backtested efficiency does now not contain monetary chance, and no hypothetical buying and selling report can totally account for the have an effect on of economic chance in exact buying and selling. For instance, the facility to resist losses or adhere to a buying and selling program regardless of buying and selling losses are subject material issues which will additionally adversely impact exact buying and selling effects. There are a large number of different components associated with the markets typically or to the implementation of any particular buying and selling program which can’t be totally accounted for within the preparation of backtested efficiency effects and all of which will adversely impact exact buying and selling effects. The backtested efficiency effects proven replicate the deduction of: (i) a median annual asset control price of 0.87%; and (ii) estimated transaction charges and different bills {that a} shopper would enjoy. The effects portrayed replicate the reinvestment of dividends, pastime and different source of revenue, as suitable. Backtested efficiency effects suppose weekly rebalancing on the finish of every week. It is necessary to know the belief of weekly rebalancing has an have an effect on on the yearly and weekly returns proven. For weekly rebalancing, the weekly go back is calculated with the belief that the portfolio is completely in stability initially of every week. In exact portfolios, then again, rebalancing happens at no set time, and such movements are depending on each marketplace prerequisites and particular person shopper liquidity inflows and outflows, at the side of the associated fee have an effect on of such transactions at the general portfolio. As with any funding technique, there may be possible for benefit in addition to the potential for loss. CCM does now not ensure any minimal degree of funding efficiency or the good fortune of any shopper account, type portfolio, or funding technique. All investments contain chance and funding suggestions won’t all the time be successful. Past efficiency does now not ensure long term effects. Backtested effects don’t ensure long term effects. Results are in comparison to the efficiency of the S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) for informational functions simplest. The consultant’s funding program does now not replicate the S&P 500 Index and the volatility of the consultant’s funding program could also be materially other. The securities or different tools integrated within the S&P 500 Index don’t seem to be essentially integrated within the consultant’s portfolio and standards for inclusion within the S&P 500 Index are other than the ones for funding through the consultant. The efficiency of the S&P 500 Index ETF was once acquired from printed resources believed to be dependable, however which don’t seem to be warranted as to accuracy or completeness. All references to the S&P 500 Index ETF SPY are to the full go back type of the ETF, which means the have an effect on of dividends is integrated. Unless famous another way, the returns of indices offered herein don’t replicate charges or transaction prices, nor internet dividends, if any. An outline of every index follows: The S&P 500 Index, a varied index that incorporates the shares of 500 US indexed, massive capitalization firms in primary industries. Past efficiency, together with hypothetical previous efficiency, isn’t indicative of long term efficiency. There will also be no assurance that the consultant will reach its targets. Any efficiency knowledge, marketplace research or knowledge or different knowledge isn’t warranted through Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC (CCM or Ciovacco Capital) as to completeness or accuracy expressed or implied, and such knowledge is topic to modify with out understand. CCM’s funding methods might alternate now and again according to marketplace prerequisites and improvements to its funding strategies and technique with out additional understand. This website online and the guidelines contained herein are for informational functions simplest and don’t represent an entire description of our funding services and products, finances or methods. The knowledge on this website online were ready through CCM and feature now not been reviewed, compiled or audited through an unbiased public accountant. The perspectives expressed in this website online constitute the present, excellent religion perspectives of the authors on the time of e-newsletter. Please bear in mind that those perspectives are topic to modify at any time and with out understand of any sort. CCM assumes no accountability and does now not adopt to replace those perspectives or any forward-looking statements, that are topic to a large number of assumptions, dangers, and uncertainties, which alternate over the years. All subject material offered herein is thought to be dependable, however we can not attest to its accuracy. The knowledge contained herein (together with historic costs or values) has been acquired from resources that Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM) considers to be dependable; then again, CCM makes no illustration as to, or accepts any duty or legal responsibility for, the accuracy or completeness of the guidelines contained herein, or any resolution or motion taken through you or any 3rd birthday party in reliance upon the knowledge. Some effects are derived the use of historic estimations from to be had knowledge. Readers are recommended to test with tax advisors sooner than making any funding choices. This memorandum isn’t an be offering to shop for or promote or a solicitation of an be offering to shop for or promote the securities discussed. The investments mentioned or really helpful on this document could also be mistaken for traders relying on their particular funding targets and monetary place. The value or worth of the investments to which this document relates, both immediately or not directly, might fall or upward thrust in opposition to the pastime of traders. All costs and yields contained on this document are topic to modify with out understand. This knowledge is according to hypothetical assumptions and is meant for illustrative functions simplest. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. Investments: Not FDIC Insured – No Bank Guarantee – May Lose Value. Investing in securities comes to dangers, and there may be all the time the potential for dropping cash whilst you put money into securities. Before making an investment, imagine your funding targets and CCM’s charges and different bills. CCM’s services and products are designed to lend a hand shoppers in attaining discrete monetary targets. They don’t seem to be supposed to offer complete tax recommendation or monetary making plans with appreciate to each facet of a consumer’s monetary scenario and don’t incorporate particular investments that shoppers dangle in other places. For extra main points, see our Form ADV Part 2 and different disclosures. Not an be offering, solicitation of an be offering, or recommendation to shop for or promote securities in jurisdictions the place CCM isn’t registered.

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